Features
Our AI provides live market predictions for highly liquid financial instruments
Market Forecast
Subscriptions to live feeds of our forecasts on market data, currently there are a variety of S&P 500 forecasts with different prediction frequencies designed for experienced options traders.
Crypto Forecast
Subscriptions to live feeds of our forecasts on crypto data, at the moment this is only the price of BTC/USD, forecasting the next 24 hours, updated every hour.
API Integration
An easy to use and integrate API. Incorporate our market predictions into your custom trading application.
Structured querying
MCMC Forecast offers a simple admin UI to control which of your applications is viewing data and how it requests this data.
Consulting
You may contact us for consulting inquiries.
Pricing
Whether you're a retail trader or large investment firm, we offer several pricing options to help you find the perfect fit.
Free for 30 days
$0per month
- Make 5 API calls per day
- Access to market forecasts
- 30 days free
- Multiple developer access tokens
Standard
$299per month
- Full access to market forecasts
- Full access to crypto forecasts
- Early access to new ticker data
- Limited 5 API calls per minute
- Limited 3 developer access tokens
Professional
C2C, initiate RFQ
- Full access to market forecasts
- Full access to crypto forecasts
- Customized predictive models
- Unlimited API calls
- Unlimited developer access tokens
Frequently Asked Questions
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What service does MCMC Forecast provide?
We provide quantified uncertainty with our forecasts and we do this by using Bayesian Structural Time Series models that we fit with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods we use are regarded as the gold standard for Bayesian inference. We test these models live with actual money on a small-scale as a component of experimentaly validating them. On this website, we do not provide or recommend strategies. This is not a robo-advisor or stock trading robot, it's a data feed based on state-of-the-art software, and a marketing page for our consulting services.
We are confident you will like what you find here. -
What is MCMC Forecast's cumulative error?
Cumulative Error Measure % of errors outside 2 Standard Deviations 1 minute forecast (n=400k) 4.49% 2 minute forecast (n=400k) 4.78% 3 minute forecast (n=400k) 4.94% 4 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.00% 5 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.05% 6 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.11% 7 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.16% 8 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.20% 9 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.20% 10 minute forecast (n=400k) 5.24%% -
How do I manage my risks when trading?
Investors should be aware that system response, execution price, speed, liquidity, market data, and account access times are affected by many factors, including market volatility, size and type of order, market conditions, system performance, and other factors.
All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. There is always the potential of losing money when you invest in securities, or other financial products. Investors should consider their investment objectives and risks carefully before investing.
Trading in cryptocurrencies comes with significant risks, including volatile market price swings or flash crashes, market manipulation, and cybersecurity risks. In addition, cryptocurrency markets and exchanges are not regulated with the same controls or customer protections available in equity, option, futures, or foreign exchange investing. Several federal agencies have also published advisory documents surrounding the risks of virtual currency. -
Which companies and cryptocurrencies do you currently model?
We provide subscriptions to live feeds of our forecasts on market data, at the moment this is only the price of SPY at various intervals and BTC/USD. We also have models for daily OHLC for about 50-100 A-rated companies that do not pay a dividend. We do not typically sell the daily OHLC predictions, but let us know if you have a particular interest. We can also provide custom data feeds for forecasts of the equities you choose, business consulting services, or exclusive access to any of these data services.
Contact
Please contact us regarding any questions you have.
Email Us
Working Hours
Mon - Fri: 9AM to 5PM
Sunday: 9AM to 1PM